Codex Reset Tracking Methodology

What counts as a verified reset

A verified reset requires public evidence that a broad Codex or related usage-limit refresh actually occurred. The tracker records the announcement time, a concise summary, the evidence source, and a confidence label. Whenever possible, the event links directly to the original public post rather than a secondary summary.

A statement that a reset may happen soon is not treated as a completed reset. It remains a preview signal until later evidence confirms the event. This distinction prevents anticipation from being presented as fact.

How the data is handled

Codex Reset maintains its own reviewed event index. Each record stores the announcement time, event type, review state, confidence, and direct URL of the original public post. The site does not fetch another reset tracker at runtime and does not republish another site's article text. Public summaries are short, neutral descriptions generated from the reviewed event fields.

The review timestamp shown on the tracker identifies when the evidence index was last checked. New reports are added only after their original source and scope have been reviewed. A prediction is never promoted to a confirmed event without later evidence.

How the forecast should be read

The 24-hour and 48-hour values are descriptive estimates derived from the eight most recent intervals between confirmed resets or broad limit increases. The model calculates the median interval, compares the elapsed time since the latest confirmed reset with that median, and converts the resulting daily rate into 24-hour and 48-hour probabilities. Values are bounded between 5% and 95% and rounded to five percentage points. The common activity window is the three-hour UTC bucket containing the most confirmed events.

The current model does not infer a private or unofficial “official signal.” When no explicit reviewed announcement exists, that field remains empty. With at least five usable intervals, confidence is labeled medium rather than high because public announcements are incomplete observations, not a scheduled process.

These values are descriptive, not deterministic. A 65% probability does not mean a reset is scheduled, and a low probability does not rule one out. Confidence, the reset history, and the original evidence should be considered together.

Known limitations

• Public global reports cannot reveal an individual account's private weekly reset time.
• Public announcements can be delayed, incomplete, or later clarified.
• Historical cadence can change when product limits or policies change.
• A global reset may not affect every plan, product surface, or account identically.

For account-specific timing, use Codex /status. For common questions about the distinction between account and global resets, read the FAQ.

For a reader-focused explanation of the numbers, see how to read the reset forecast. For the source-review process behind each event, see how Codex Reset events are verified.